Can Prabowo’s 6 Fiscal Incentives Boost Indonesia’s Economy? Economists Weigh In!

Bisnis | Ekonomi - Posted on 29 May 2025 Reading time 5 minutes

Presiden Prabowo Subianto menggelar sidang kabinet paripurna di Kantor Presiden Jakarta yang dihadiri jajaran, Rabu (22/1/2025). (Liputan6.com/Lizsa Egeham)

Indonesia Launches Six Economic Stimulus Packages to Boost Domestic Consumption

The Indonesian government is set to roll out six economic stimulus packages on June 5, 2025, aiming to enhance domestic consumption and address the slowing economic growth. The stimulus includes electricity tariff discounts, social assistance, wage subsidies, and discounts on transportation and toll fees. This initiative follows the first quarter's economic growth of 4.87% year-on-year, the lowest since Q3 2021.Idnfinancials+2Reuters+2Xinhua News+2Jakarta Globe+4Xinhua News+4Jakarta Daily - Indonesia News Portal+4

 

Details of the Six Stimulus Packages:

  1. Transportation Discounts: The government offers discounts for sea, rail, and air transportation during the school holidays in June and July 2025.Xinhua News

  2. Toll Fee Discounts: Toll fee reductions are provided to approximately 110 million motorists during the extended holiday period in late May and early June 2025.Jakarta Globe

  3. Electricity Tariff Discounts: A 50% discount on electricity tariffs is granted to 79.3 million households with power capacities below 1,300 VA during June and July 2025.

  4. Additional Social Assistance Allocation: Additional social assistance in the form of basic food cards and food aid is distributed to 18.3 million beneficiary families.Xinhua News

  5. Wage Subsidy Assistance (BSU): A subsidy of Rp150,000 per month is provided to 17 million workers earning below Rp3.5 million, including 3.4 million honorary teachers, disbursed in a single payment in June 2025.ANTARA News+1ANTARA News+1

  6. Extension of Work Accident Insurance (JKK) Contribution Discounts: A 50% discount on Work Accident Insurance (JKK) contributions is extended for labor-intensive sector workers from August 2025 to January 2026.ANTARA News+1Reuters+1

 

Economic Impact:

Permata Bank's Chief Economist, Josua Pardede, estimates that this stimulus could add 0.1-0.2% to GDP, helping to maintain purchasing power and mitigate growth deceleration in Q2 2025. However, its effectiveness heavily depends on the swift realization of the budget and accurate targeting of aid distribution.

 

Danamon Bank economist, Hosianna Situmorang, stated that these incentives could serve as a positive catalyst for household consumption, especially ahead of Eid al-Adha and the disbursement of the 13th salary for civil servants. Nonetheless, the 2025 economic growth is projected to remain moderate at around 4.8% due to the high base effect from the previous year and minimal pressures like El Niño.Jakarta Daily - Indonesia News Portal

 

BCA Bank economist, Barra Kukuh Mamia, added that the stimulus packages could impact the economy by approximately 0.05-0.1%, but it's essential to assess whether the liquidity conditions in society are supportive.

 

IPOT Sekuritas economist, Luthfi Ridho, welcomed the incentives, particularly the electricity tariff discounts, but noted that these packages might still fall short of driving economic growth to 5% in Q2 2025. He emphasized the need for increased investment and addressing high economic costs to foster investment growth.

 

Senior INDEF economist, Tauhid Ahmad, also viewed the government's policy positively, although achieving growth above 5% remains challenging.

 

Professor Telisa Aulia Falianty from the University of Indonesia's Faculty of Economics and Business highlighted the necessity of incentives amid declining commodity prices and stressed the importance of budget efficiency and prioritizing government programs, especially in the real sector.

Source: cnbcindonesia.com

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